Decision Brief · deterministic output
Founder / Operator brief: act on measured change, preserve the rollback.
cw-16m0318 · evidence checked
Decision frame
Recalculate one flagship agent workflow at the post-window rate. Sequence one lead move, then expand only after its trigger is met.
Priorities and reasons
Priority 1 · score 16
A launch-price window can distort the business case for agents
- Founder / Operator relevance contributes 6 points to this priority.
- For the quarter horizon: A technically successful pilot can still fail its production business case.
- The decision rests on primary sources checked at the stated date.
- Act now
- Recalculate one flagship agent workflow at the post-window rate.
- Decision trigger
- Approve scale only if the normalized case still clears the operating target.
- Avoid
- Do not use launch-month invoices as the durable unit economics.
verified-primary · checked 2026-07-17 · review by 2026-08-31
Priority 2 · score 13
Model tiers turn routing discipline into a cost control
- Founder / Operator relevance contributes 5 points to this priority.
- For the quarter horizon: Teams need small repeatable test sets for each workload, not one leaderboard score.
- Primary material and Context Wire analysis are separated so the inference is visible.
- Act now
- Name the two workload classes that create the most cost or customer risk.
- Decision trigger
- Pilot routing when either class exceeds 15% of monthly model spend.
- Avoid
- Do not redesign every workflow before the top two routes produce evidence.
mixed · checked 2026-07-17 · review by 2026-08-17
Countercase
The price change may not alter the decision: If agent labor savings are large and measured, a 50% token-rate increase can remain immaterial to the total operating case.
Rollback
- Trigger
- Normalized cost per completed task misses the approved target.
- Safe state
- Keep the workflow at pilot volume with the previous manual path available.
- First step
- Stop expanding traffic while preserving task-level telemetry.
- Evidence was last checked 2026-07-17; each priority carries its own review-by date.
- This brief uses role and operating constraints only. It does not use personal or company-confidential data.
- Copy is provisional and pending Fable review; release approval is separate.